Ladies and Gentlemen,
Please see the following from Bill
Sammler, Warning Coordination Meteorologist with the National Weather Service
in Wakefield:
“At 5 pm, the National Hurricane Center will be initiating
advisories on an area of low pressure east of the Georgia coast that could
become tropical storm Irma by tomorrow. As a result, a Tropical Storm Watch has
been issued along the North Carolina coast as far north as Currituck Beach
Light. This system's greatest impacts will be in southeast Virginia and coastal
northeast North Carolina, although rain and gusty winds could extend well
inland, and potential coastal flooding could impact our entire coastal/Chesapeake
Bay area. Below are some potential impacts and timing.
Coastal Flooding -
Minor flooding possible entire area, with moderate flooding possible in the
lower Chesapeake Bay and tidal portions of the James River (at least as far
upstream as Jamestown). Expect coastal flooding to begin later Monday and
continue into Tuesday. Detailed forecasts are available on our Tides and Coastal flooding page.
Rainfall -
Most areas will receive one half inch of rain or less during the event. The
exception will be along and east of a Chincoteague to Roanoke Rapids line,
where 1 to 2 inches of rain will be possible. Some areas near the coast could
receive 2 to 4 inches of rain, within slightly higher localized amounts
possible. See our Rain and Snow Forecasts page for
details.
Winds - Edenton
to Chincoteague eastward - Wind gusts Monday night through Tuesday
could get in the 40 to 45 mph range, depending upon how much the area of low
pressure intensifies. Elsewhere, wind gusts will be in the 20-30
mph range, highest near the Bay, and Lower Maryland Eastern Shore.
There remains a fair amount of uncertainty with regard to the
intensity of this system, and whether the center remains over water as it lifts
along the coast. We hope to have more details to provide you by tomorrow
morning. If so, a detailed briefing may be issued.”
---------------
I’ve attached
the Tropical Storm graphic which reflects the TS Watch Bill mentioned, the
hourly graph, 3-day rainfall forecast and tidal forecast for your review. Again, currently, timing for such impacts begins
tomorrow (Monday). Minor flooding
expected with Monday’s 2:55pm high tide (a couple hours before and after),
nuisance flooding during the early morning (3:10am) high tide Tuesday and then
moderate flooding associated with Tuesday afternoon’s high tide which peaks at
3:49pm.
All subject to
change; we’ll continue to monitor and keep you posted. In the meantime, feel free to contact us with
any questions.
Thanks!
Jim
Jim Redick
Director, Norfolk EOC
james.redick@norfolk.gov
Director, Norfolk EOC
james.redick@norfolk.gov
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