Tuesday, February 7, 2017

Team Norfolk - Potential Thursday Snow 2-7-17 @ 5:30pm

Ladies and Gentlemen,

The following comes from Jeff Orrock, Meteorologist in Charge at the NWS in Wakefield:

“A strong storm system will approach the region Wednesday and cross the area Thursday. This will result in gusty winds and scattered snow showers. While current forecasts call for no little to no accumulation, due to the strength of the system and forecast uncertainty snow accumulations are possible. There is the potential that an inch or more of snow could accumulate over portions of the Northern Neck and Eastern Shore. Confidence in any possible snow accumulation is low, but we want folks to be aware. Scattered snow showers are expected late Thursday into Thursday evening, the question is how long will snow last in any one location and how much accumulation could result.

Windy conditions are expected everywhere with gusts of 30 to 40 mph close to the Bay and coast. Some gusts to 45 mph are possible along the immediate coast. Winds increase Thursday morning, but the highest winds are expected late Thursday into Thursday night.”

Norfolk should not be directly impacted by this event; however, the hourly graph is attached for your review reflecting midnight Wednesday through Friday at midnight.  As you’ll see, rainfall is likely throughout the morning hours Thursday and then 30% chance of a light snowfall in the afternoon. Likelihood is minimal accumulation; reasonable worst case is still under 1”.  In fact, Norfolk has a 42% chance of experiencing 0.1”.  While sustained winds and gusts pick up to around 20mph and 32mph respectively Thursday morning, temperatures drop dramatically in the evening from 51° to 32° (and wind chills into the upper teens) late Thursday night.  Temps pick up again throughout the day Friday.

Again, this should be a non-event for Norfolk.  No watches, warnings, activations.  For those associated with our "WOW" efforts, Scott Mahone will schedule a coordination call.

Thanks!

Jim
Director, Norfolk EOC

 
 
 

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